NC Presidential Primary
The general election winner in North Carolina has won the presidency in 18 of the last 23 presidential elections. As one of the largest Purple states in the nation with 15 electoral votes, North Carolina could decide the presidency in 2020.
Democrats have controlled the governor's mansion in 23 of the last 27 years. However, Democratic Governor Roy Cooper won by only 11,000 votes in 2016 while carrying less than 50% of the vote. This could be one of the tightest governor's races in the country yet again.
U.S. Senate Race
Senator Thom Tillis flipped this Senate seat in 2014 with 48.8% of the vote. With Republicans protecting a narrow Senate lead, and in an election cycle where Republicans are defending more seats, this race could determine which party controls the Senate beginnning in 2021.
Key U.S. House Race
Newly drawn congressional maps are expected to flip two seats from Republican to Democrat: NC-02 and NC-06. The most competitive race could be in NC-11, where Mark Meadows' retirement combined with the capturing of more Blue voters make this district race one to watch.
Key State Senate Races
The 10 tightest North Carolina State Senate races in 2018 were decided by less than eight percentage points. With Republicans holding a 29-21 seat lead, a sharp swing on these potential swing districts could determine which party controls the Senate beginning in 2021.
Key General Assembly Races
The 22 tightest North Carolina State House races in 2018 were decided by less than seven percentage points. With Republicans holding a 65-55 seat lead, a sharp swing on these potential swing districts could determine which party controls the House beginning in 2021.